Xiomara
5yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 2
Strasbourg · Prix Agriteam (prix Richard Hartley) Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#6
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Chantilly | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Compiegne | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-06-25 | Kempton | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-05-19 | Windsor | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-04-28 | Windsor | 4 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2024 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 11/10/2024 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 55% | -0.03 |
| 10/11/2024 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 28/04/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 11% | -0.42 |
| 19/05/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 25/06/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 77% | +0.08 |
| 24/04/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 09/05/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 07/07/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 27% | -0.36 |