1

Country Mile

7yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 137

Uttoxeter · F Ball Stick With It Chasing Excellence Beginners' Chase (GBB Race) · 1m 7f 214y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/7

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

100%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dual novice hurdle winner who made a promising start over fences when second to Alnilam in this race a year ago. Unable to build on that later in the month at Cheltenham and off since but he's in expert hands and retains plenty of potential (hood and tongue tie on).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 2.1)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Huntingdon 01/04/2024 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m7f171y Goo 1571/0454 @ Ayr 28/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 2m GS 15428/1041 @ Haydock 23/11/2024 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m7f144y Sft 156 · HIGHER CLASS23/1113 @ Cheltenham 13/12/2024 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 131 · 2m179y Goo 160 · beat its mark13/12/2024 · OR 131 par13/123OR 1311 @ Aintree 26/12/2024 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 138 · 2m209y Sft 162 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/12/2024 · OR 138 par26/121OR 1383 @ Uttoxeter 05/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 3 · OR 137 · 1m7f214y Gd 159 · below its mark05/10/2025 · OR 137 par5/103OR 1372 @ Cheltenham 24/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 137 · 1m7f199y GS 158 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/10/2025 · OR 137 par24/102OR 137projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-10-24Cheltenham23rd2nd+1
2025-10-05Uttoxeter32nd2nd0
2024-12-26Aintree15th3rd+2
2024-12-13Cheltenham31st1st0
2024-11-23Haydock12nd0th+2
2024-10-28Ayr41st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0413/1224/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 3100% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 72/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength60%

Delivery trend -7.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 3. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/04/20241st2/189%100%+0.11
28/10/20241st30/10098%100%+0.02
23/11/20242nd5/174%80%+0.06
13/12/20241st5/174%100%+0.26
26/12/20245th11/271%33%-0.38
05/10/20252nd3/184%50%-0.34
24/10/20253rd9/488%67%-0.21