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O'Moore Park

9yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 137

Uttoxeter · F Ball Stick With It Chasing Excellence Beginners' Chase (GBB Race) · 1m 7f 214y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Plenty of at least respectable handicap efforts to his name, including when sixth in the Plate at Cheltenham and seventh in the Topham at Aintree during the spring. Made mistakes when well held in the Killarney National and has since left Willie Mullins. Drops markedly in trip on return.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.1
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Cheltenham 16/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 140 · 2m4f127y Gd 149 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/04/2025 · OR 140 par16/041OR 1401 @ Sandown 26/04/2025 · Pos 11th of 19 · OR 140 · 3m4f146y Gd 142 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/04/2025 · OR 140 parBHA141 @ Galway 26/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 141 · 2m6f111y Yie 166 · below its mark26/10/2025 · OR 141 par26/10141OR 1411 @ Newbury 29/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 24 · OR 141 · 3m1f214y GS 150 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/11/2025 · OR 141 par1 @ Leopardstown 27/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 28 · OR 140 · 3m100y Yie 156 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/12/2025 · OR 140 par27/121OR 1401 @ Leopardstown 01/02/2026 · Pos 12th of 23 · OR 141 · 2m5f107y Sft 155 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/02/2026 · OR 141 par1 @ Cheltenham 10/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 23 · OR 141 · 2m4f44y GS 155 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/03/2026 · OR 141 par10/031OR 1411 @ Aintree 10/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 27 · OR 140 · 2m5f19y GS 148 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/04/2026 · OR 140 parBHA137 @ Killarney 09/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 137 · 3m2f Goo 166 · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 137 par9/05137OR 137projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-09KillarneyBHA1379th22th−11
2026-04-10Aintree17th5th+2
2026-03-10Cheltenham16th4th+2
2026-02-01Leopardstown112th10th+2
2025-12-27Leopardstown15th3rd+2
2025-11-29Newbury110th8th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0429/1110/039/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 30% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 74/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend +1.3% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 3rd of 3.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/04/20252nd7/282%89%+0.07
26/04/202511th12/137%44%+0.08
26/10/20252nd3/184%90%+0.06
29/11/202510th22/10%61%+0.61
27/12/20255th33/10%85%+0.85
01/02/202612th20/10%50%+0.50
10/03/20266th22/10%77%+0.77
10/04/20267th25/10%77%+0.77
09/05/20269th4/179%20%-0.59