4

A Chara

5yo Mare · 10-10 · OR 110

Uttoxeter · Chloe Mediumship Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 7f 70y

#4

Rank

Odds

11/8

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

£70,000 Irish point recruit who stepped up on Rules debut fourth when a clear second to odds-on winner Strong Run at Southwell (20.5f, good to soft) in December. Off since but that is the best form on offer and hopes are high she'll stay this far.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Sedgefield 13/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 2m3f188y Sft 15713/1144 @ Southwell 14/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 2m4f88y Goo 15814/124projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-12-14Southwell42nd2nd0
2025-11-13Sedgefield44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/1114/12
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +39.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/11/20254th16/116%63%+0.47
14/12/20252nd25/10%86%+0.86