5

Letmeseethecolts

5yo Mare · 10-10 · OR 95

Uttoxeter · Chloe Mediumship Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 7f 70y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Modest winner up to 1½m on the Flat and similar level over hurdles this summer, placed all 3 starts. Could do with brushing up her jumping slightly but is capable of making her presence felt again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Newcastle 04/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 52 · 1m4f98y Std 127 · beat its mark04/03/2025 · OR 52 par4/036OR 525 @ Doncaster 29/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 18 · OR 52 · 1m2f43y Goo 122 · beat its mark29/03/2025 · OR 52 par5 @ Pontefract 08/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 54 · 1m4f5y Gd 119 · beat its mark08/04/2025 · OR 54 par8/045OR 545 @ Thirsk 03/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 60 · 1m6f Goo 126 · beat its mark03/05/2025 · OR 60 par5 @ Redcar 18/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 58 · 1m2f1y Goo 135 · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 58 par18/055OR 585 @ Carlisle 09/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 57 · 1m3f39y Goo 122 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 57 par4 @ Cartmel 28/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 2m1f46y Goo 15428/0644 @ Uttoxeter 24/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m7f168y Gd 1494 @ Stratford 25/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 97 · 2m2f148y GF 158 · below its mark25/08/2026 · OR 97 par25/084OR 97projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Stratford43rd3rd0
2026-07-24Uttoxeter43rd3rd0
2026-06-28Cartmel42nd2nd0
2026-06-09Carlisle57th8th−1
2026-05-18Redcar57th8th−1
2025-05-03Thirsk55th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/033/0528/0625/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/03/20253rd11/271%60%-0.11
29/03/20252nd7/163%94%+0.31
08/04/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
03/05/20255th9/488%0%-0.88
18/05/20267th28/10%14%+0.14
09/06/20267th10/147%33%-0.14
28/06/20262nd18/15%88%+0.82
24/07/20263rd33/10%83%+0.83
25/08/20263rd9/488%71%-0.17