6

Stavanger Rose

6yo Mare · 10-10 · OR 80

Uttoxeter · Chloe Mediumship Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 7f 70y

#7

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★ Timeform

Commentary

Bred for stamina and little in the way of promise in various company.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Cartmel 23/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 91 · 2m6f31y Goo 151 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 91 par23/054OR 914 @ Uttoxeter 04/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 90 · 2m7f70y Gd 149 · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 90 par4/064OR 905 @ Worcester 01/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 90 · 2m4f Gd 162 · below its mark01/07/2026 · OR 90 par1/075OR 904 @ Newton Abbot 19/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 85 · 3m2f105y Goo 143 · below its mark19/07/2026 · OR 85 par19/074OR 85projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-19Newton Abbot45th5th0
2026-07-01Worcester510th11th−1
2026-06-04Uttoxeter44th4th0
2026-05-23Cartmel46th6th0
2026-04-14Newton Abbot40
2026-04-07Exeter40

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/054/061/0719/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 6-7 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength3%

Delivery trend -10.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/05/20266th33/10%44%+0.44
04/06/20264th50/10%40%+0.40
01/07/202610th50/10%10%+0.10
19/07/20265th40/10%20%+0.20