7

Time In A Bottle
6yo Mare · 10-10 · OR 107
Uttoxeter · Chloe Mediumship Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 7f 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -3.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Gowran Park | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-06 | Tipperary | BHA102 | 6th | 13th | −6 |
| 2025-08-14 | Tramore | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
| 2025-07-25 | Kilbeggan | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2025-05-12 | Killarney | ? | 4th | 9th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 7-7 · tight 90/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -11.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/2024 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 90% | +0.48 |
| 26/08/2024 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 08/10/2024 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 20/04/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 12/05/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 63% | -0.26 |
| 25/07/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 93% | +0.04 |
| 14/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 06/10/2025 | 6th | 15/8 | 90% | 17% | -0.73 |
| 15/09/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 38% | -0.34 |