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Dontcontradictme

6yo Gelding · 11-4

Uttoxeter · F Ball 140th Anniversary Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1) · 1m 7f 168y

#5

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed ability on the first of 2 bumper starts. Lame on hurdling debut in August 2025 and offered little on return at Newton Abbot (2¾m) latest. Probably one for handicaps now.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Market Rasen 20/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 2m125y Gd 15620/0655 @ Worcester 24/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 2m Gd 15624/0754 @ Newton Abbot 18/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 2m5f122y Gd 15818/094projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Newton Abbot46th6th0
2025-08-18Stratford40
2025-07-24Worcester58th9th−1
2025-06-20Market Rasen53rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0624/0718/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 24/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength0%

Delivery trend +1.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/06/20253rd12/137%50%+0.13
24/07/20258th5/174%22%-0.51
18/09/20266th66/10%17%+0.17