9

Lara K

5yo Mare · 10-11

Uttoxeter · F Ball 140th Anniversary Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1) · 1m 7f 168y

#7

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★ Timeform

Commentary

Flat-bred mare who is again turned out quickly, having shown little on either start to date.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newton Abbot 18/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 2m167y Gd 15418/0944 @ Market Rasen 26/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 2m125y Gd 16126/094projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-26Market Rasen46th6th0
2026-09-18Newton Abbot47th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0926/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 3-3 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength75%

Delivery trend +37.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/09/20267th300/10%0%0.00
26/09/20266th200/10%38%+0.38