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5yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 59

Uttoxeter · F Ball 140th Anniversary Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1) · 1m 7f 168y

#8

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★ Timeform

Commentary

Well beaten all 5 starts to date, latterly from out of the weights in first-time hood/tongue tie on handicap debut at Sedgefield.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Sedgefield 01/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 2m178y Goo 1571/0454 @ Kelso 24/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 2m51y Gd 15524/0544 @ Cartmel 20/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 2m1f46y Gd 15820/0745 @ Sedgefield 28/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 59 · 2m178y Goo 145 · beat its mark28/08/2026 · OR 59 par28/085OR 59projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Sedgefield510th11th−1
2026-07-20Cartmel46th6th0
2026-06-13Hexham3+1
2026-05-24Kelso48th8th0
2026-04-01Sedgefield56th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0424/0520/0728/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 8-10 · tight 73/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength6%

Delivery trend -3.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/04/20266th25/10%17%+0.17
24/05/20268th250/10%13%+0.13
20/07/20266th200/10%29%+0.29
28/08/202610th150/10%0%0.00