8
Venezuelan
4yo Gelding · 11-3
Uttoxeter · F Ball 140th Anniversary Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1) · 1m 7f 168y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Chester | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | York | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Chester | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Chester | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Chester | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-06 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength87%
Delivery trend +5.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 09/08/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 22/08/2025 | 2nd | 4/9 | 98% | 50% | -0.48 |
| 06/10/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 89% | -0.03 |
| 30/05/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 24/07/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 22/08/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |