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Current Edition

5yo Gelding · 11-4

Uttoxeter · F Ball 140th Anniversary Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 2) · 1m 7f 168y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

8%

Place Prob

19%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fell sole start in Irish points and having looked in need of experience in 2 bumpers last winter, took a step forward following a breathing operation when nose-second of 8 in novice at Ludlow (2m, good to soft) on hurdling debut in March. Yard flying and could well go one better on return.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Warwick 11/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 2m Goo 15611/1254 @ Fakenham 18/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR - · 2m3y Goo 16218/0144 @ Ludlow 30/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m7f169y Gd 15430/034projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-30Ludlow42nd2nd0
2026-01-18Fakenham43rd3rd0
2025-12-11Warwick55th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/1218/0130/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 42/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +29.5% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/12/20255th7/163%64%+0.00
18/01/20263rd11/486%33%-0.52
30/03/20262nd14/126%86%+0.59