Larzac
5yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 124
Uttoxeter · F Ball 140th Anniversary Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 2) · 1m 7f 168y
#8
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 | Punchestown | 1 | 11th | 7th | +3 |
| 2026-04-05 | Cork | BHA122 | 4th | 14th | −8 |
| 2025-12-15 | Naas | ? | 8th | 13th | −4 |
| 2025-05-03 | Punchestown | 1 | 6th | 1st | +4 |
| 2025-03-14 | Cheltenham | 1 | 13th | 8th | +4 |
| 2024-10-02 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/2024 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 94% | +0.17 |
| 14/03/2025 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 03/05/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 15/12/2025 | 8th | 9/4 | 88% | 63% | -0.25 |
| 05/04/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 28/04/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |