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9

Midnight Lexi

4yo Filly · 10-10

Uttoxeter · F Ball 140th Anniversary Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 2) · 1m 7f 168y

#4

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Nathaniel filly who showed promise amidst signs of being headstrong when third of 9 in bumper at Worcester (2m, good) last month. Makes hurdling debut and entitled to progress provided the lid can be kept on. Yard second string.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Worcester 04/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 2m Gd 1474/095
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Worcester53rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength10%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/09/20263rd17/255%75%+0.20