10

Sangara

4yo Filly · 10-10

Uttoxeter · F Ball 140th Anniversary Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 2) · 1m 7f 168y

#5

Rank

Odds

150/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★ Timeform

Commentary

Limited Flat performer at up to 1¼m who offered little with a hood retained for her switch to hurdling at Plumpton a fortnight ago. Looks an easy swerve.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength26%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Haydock 18/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 63 · 6f212y Goo 130 · beat its mark18/07/2025 · OR 63 par18/075OR 636 @ Chepstow 14/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 58 · 1m14y Goo 131 · beat its mark14/08/2025 · OR 58 par2 @ Chepstow 25/08/2025 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 56 · 1m14y Goo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/08/2025 · OR 56 par25/082OR 566 @ Pontefract 18/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 53 · 1m2f5y GS 127 · beat its mark18/09/2025 · OR 53 par6 @ Wolverhampton 04/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 52 · 1m1f104y Std 128 · below its mark04/10/2025 · OR 52 par4/106OR 526 @ Brighton 05/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 50 · 7f216y Goo 135 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Brighton 24/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 48 · 7f216y Goo 128 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 48 par24/086OR 486 @ Brighton 01/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 48 · 1m1f207y Goo 128 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 48 par4 @ Plumpton 20/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 3 · OR - · 1m7f195y Goo 14920/094projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-20Plumpton43rd3rd0
2026-09-01Brighton610th12th−2
2026-08-24Brighton65th7th−2
2026-08-05Brighton65th7th−2
2025-10-04Wolverhampton612th14th−2
2025-09-18Pontefract63rd5th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0718/0924/0820/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 6-10 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -5.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/07/202510th66/10%10%+0.10
14/08/20254th33/10%75%+0.75
25/08/202512th22/10%21%+0.21
18/09/20253rd12/137%75%+0.38
04/10/202512th6/168%0%-0.68
05/08/20265th18/15%50%+0.45
24/08/20265th18/15%50%+0.45
01/09/202610th10/147%0%-0.47
20/09/20263rd33/10%0%0.00