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Sytadel

4yo Gelding · 11-3

Uttoxeter · F Ball 140th Anniversary Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 2) · 1m 7f 168y

#1

Rank

Odds

15/8

Win Prob

82%

Place Prob

59%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Easy winner of Le Lion-d'Angers maiden on second outing on the Flat for Xavier Blanchet in May 2025. Tongue tied for his hurdling debut and produced an encouraging effort after 16 months off when second of 12 in maiden at Worcester (2m) last month. Obvious claims with that form franked.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 1.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Le Lion D'angers 06/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1286/05C54 @ Worcester 10/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 2m Gd 15610/094projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Worcester42nd2nd0
2025-05-06Le Lion D'angers?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0510/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 10-10 · tight 71/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength4%

Delivery trend -93.3% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/05/20251st22/10%100%+1.00
10/09/20262nd3/184%91%+0.07