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Tazman Dan

5yo Gelding · 11-4

Uttoxeter · F Ball 140th Anniversary Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 2) · 1m 7f 168y

#7

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Little impact in 3 bumpers and given a considerate introduction over hurdles on his first outing for 5 months/since leaving P. Kiely when fourth of 6 in novice at Stratford (2m, good to firm) last month. Hood applied and significant step forward required.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Limerick 28/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 2m2f Sft 16828/12C?C0 @ Wexford 17/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 2m Sft 16817/03C?C0 @ Cork 05/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 2m3f Yie 1685/04C?4 @ Stratford 05/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 2m70y Goo 1545/094projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Stratford44th4th0
2026-04-05Cork?7th7th0
2026-03-17Wexford?5th5th0
2025-12-28Limerick?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/1217/035/045/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 5-8 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength38%

Delivery trend +3.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/12/20256th33/10%17%+0.17
17/03/20265th40/10%43%+0.43
05/04/20267th12/137%60%+0.23
05/09/20264th18/15%40%+0.35