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Divilabother

8yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 127

Uttoxeter · F Ball Established 1886 Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 70y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Strong traveller who progressed to win 5 times between June-August (including hat-trick success over C&D), his only defeat in that spell when splitting a couple of future winners here. Still in form when beaten 7½ lengths at Perth but he may just be vulnerable to a stronger stayer on these terms.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength48%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Hexham 13/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 104 · 2m4f28y Goo 168 · below its mark13/04/2026 · OR 104 par13/045OR 1045 @ Hexham 02/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 103 · 2m7f63y Gd 166 · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 103 par4 @ Hexham 19/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 103 · 2m4f28y Goo 158 · below its mark19/05/2026 · OR 103 par19/054OR 1034 @ Hexham 13/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 102 · 2m7f63y Gd 153 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 102 par4 @ Cartmel 28/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 107 · 2m6f31y Goo 157 · beat its mark28/06/2026 · OR 107 par28/064OR 1074 @ Uttoxeter 24/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 112 · 2m3f207y Gd 164 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 112 par2 @ Uttoxeter 26/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 112 · 2m7f70y Gd 157 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/07/2026 · OR 112 par26/072OR 1122 @ Cartmel 31/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 124 · 3m1f83y Goo 167 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 124 par2 @ Perth 24/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 128 · 2m7f207y Goo 168 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/09/2026 · OR 128 par24/092OR 128projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-24Perth25th4th+1
2026-08-31Cartmel21st0th+1
2026-07-26Uttoxeter22nd1st+1
2026-07-24Uttoxeter41st2nd−1
2026-06-28Cartmel41st2nd−1
2026-06-13Hexham41st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0413/0626/0724/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength67%

Delivery trend +2.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/04/20265th7/282%56%-0.26
02/05/20263rd8/158%86%+0.28
19/05/20266th5/174%44%-0.29
13/06/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
28/06/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
24/07/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
26/07/20262nd15/890%88%-0.03
31/08/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
24/09/20265th13/266%60%-0.06