4
Jubilant
7yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 120
Uttoxeter · F Ball Established 1886 Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
76%
Place Prob
57%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | Plumpton | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-01 | Southwell | 4 | −1 | ||
| 2026-03-08 | Warwick | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-15 | Plumpton | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-21 | Ascot | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-10-19 | Kempton | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 74/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength84%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 02/07/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 17/07/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 23/09/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 19/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 21/11/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 15/12/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 08/03/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 26/05/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |