6
Pike Road
7yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 110
Uttoxeter · F Ball Established 1886 Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-07-26 | Uttoxeter | 2 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Worcester | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Worcester | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-05 | Hereford | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-02-02 | Southwell | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 6-6 · tight 90/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 12/12/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 01/01/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 02/02/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 38% | -0.41 |
| 05/05/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 90% | +0.16 |
| 01/07/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 26/07/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 25% | -0.17 |
| 15/09/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |