Arcon
6yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 91
Uttoxeter · F Ball Yellow Bucket Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 168y
#10
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Worcester | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-07 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Worcester | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-10-02 | Nottingham | 2 | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-08-28 | Southwell | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-08-08 | Haydock | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 14/06/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 01/08/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 08/08/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 28/08/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 02/10/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 17/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 07/07/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 44% | +0.39 |
| 22/07/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |