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10

Bowling Shane

4yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 82

Uttoxeter · F Ball Yellow Bucket Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 168y

#6

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Steadily progressive in maidens on the Flat last year. Now getting the hang of things as a hurdler, too, notching a third in-frame finish from 4 handicap starts when 2½ lengths behind Uncle Remus over C&D. Each-way claims once again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength13%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 15/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f219y Sta 129 · HIGHER CLASS15/0945 @ Nottingham 23/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 72 · 1m6f Hvy 134 · beat its mark23/10/2025 · OR 72 par3 @ Newbury 27/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 2m69y Goo 154 · HIGHER CLASS27/0234 @ Chepstow 02/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 2m16y Goo 148 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Hereford 16/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 2m53y Gd 150 · HIGHER CLASS16/0445 @ Ffos Las 05/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 84 · 1m7f182y Gd 147 · beat its mark05/05/2026 · OR 84 par5 @ Uttoxeter 04/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 84 · 2m3f207y Gd 146 · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 84 par4/065OR 845 @ Newton Abbot 13/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 83 · 2m2f110y Goo 151 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 83 par5 @ Uttoxeter 15/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 82 · 1m7f168y Goo 148 · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 82 par15/095OR 82projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Uttoxeter52nd2nd0
2026-07-13Newton Abbot54th4th0
2026-06-04Uttoxeter55th5th0
2026-05-05Ffos Las53rd3rd0
2026-04-16Hereford410th9th+1
2026-04-02Chepstow411th10th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/092/044/0615/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/09/20254th33/10%63%+0.63
23/10/20255th10/147%33%-0.14
27/02/20268th33/10%13%+0.13
02/04/202611th50/10%0%0.00
16/04/202610th80/10%25%+0.25
05/05/20263rd40/10%82%+0.82
04/06/20265th11/271%33%-0.38
13/07/20264th22/10%73%+0.73
15/09/20262nd40/10%92%+0.92