Chico Magnifica
4yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 90
Uttoxeter · F Ball Yellow Bucket Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 168y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Southwell | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Bangor-on-Dee | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Wetherby | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-03-08 | Warwick | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Huntingdon | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-09-22 | Hamilton | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 02/08/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/08/2025 | 4th | 4/6 | 96% | 0% | -0.96 |
| 22/09/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 01/03/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 29% | -0.42 |
| 08/03/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 27/03/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 18/04/2026 | 9th | 125/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 11/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.23 |