IvyArcIvyArc
2

Prettylady

4yo Filly · 11-9 · OR 94

Uttoxeter · F Ball Yellow Bucket Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 168y

#2

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

68%

Place Prob

48%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improved when starting 2-2 in handicaps at Stratford/Southwell. Went missing for a couple of outings before belying market weakness to land a 4-runner Bangor handicap latest, presumably benefitting from another breathing operation/cheekpieces. This demands more again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength35%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Lyon-Parilly 23/04/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12823/04C?C5 @ ParisLongchamp 05/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m208y Hvy 120 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Catterick 30/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m7f156y Sft 145 · HIGHER CLASS30/0144 @ Hereford 11/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 2m53y Hvy 156 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Stratford 17/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 78 · 2m70y Goo 142 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 78 par17/055OR 785 @ Southwell 09/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 83 · 1m7f182y Goo 146 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 83 par4 @ Bangor-on-Dee 26/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 91 · 2m145y Goo 149 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 91 par26/064OR 915 @ Uttoxeter 26/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 91 · 1m7f168y Gd 157 · below its mark26/07/2026 · OR 91 par5 @ Bangor-on-Dee 04/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 89 · 2m145y Gd 157 · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 89 par4/095OR 89projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Bangor-on-Dee51st1st0
2026-07-26Uttoxeter59th9th0
2026-06-26Bangor-on-Dee44th3rd+1
2026-06-09Southwell51st1st0
2026-05-17Stratford51st1st0
2026-03-13Doncaster4+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0411/0226/064/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/04/20256th6/168%50%-0.18
05/06/20257th9/153%45%-0.07
30/01/20266th80/10%38%+0.38
11/02/20267th80/10%25%+0.25
17/05/20261st22/10%100%+1.00
09/06/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
26/06/20264th5/287%0%-0.87
26/07/20269th25/10%20%+0.20
04/09/20261st16/116%100%+0.84