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Promethean

5yo Gelding · 11-9 · OR 93

Uttoxeter · F Ball Yellow Bucket Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 168y

#11

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair 1½m maiden winner on the Flat. Promising runs either side of a fall at Aintree in May, not ideally placed when 7½ lengths behind Uncle Remus on return (80/1) over C&D last time. Entitled to build on that and still early days in handicaps for a useful yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength58%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Doncaster 12/09/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 80 · 1m6f115y Goo 116 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/09/2025 · OR 80 par12/092OR 804 @ Salisbury 02/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 79 · 1m6f44y Gd 141 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/10/2025 · OR 79 par4 @ Newcastle 02/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 77 · 1m4f98y Std 137 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/12/2025 · OR 77 par2/124OR 774 @ Southwell 28/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 75 · 2m102y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/12/2025 · OR 75 par4 @ Southwell 02/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m7f182y Goo 161 · HIGHER CLASS2/0245 @ Southwell 20/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 72 · 1m4f14y Std 131 · below its mark20/02/2026 · OR 72 par4 @ Carlisle 08/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 2m1f Sft 159 · HIGHER CLASS8/0344 @ Southwell 01/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m7f182y Gd 159 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Uttoxeter 15/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 94 · 1m7f168y Goo 162 · below its mark15/09/2026 · OR 94 par15/095OR 94projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Uttoxeter55th5th0
2026-05-15Aintree4+1
2026-04-01Southwell43rd2nd+1
2026-03-08Carlisle48th7th+1
2026-02-20Southwell511th11th0
2026-02-02Southwell47th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0928/128/0315/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength85%

Delivery trend +15.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/09/202511th13/266%17%-0.49
02/10/202510th5/174%10%-0.64
02/12/20259th12/137%20%-0.17
28/12/20258th66/10%13%+0.13
02/02/20267th33/10%33%+0.33
20/02/202611th100/10%0%0.00
08/03/20268th40/10%22%+0.22
01/04/20263rd66/10%67%+0.67
15/09/20265th80/10%67%+0.67