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4

Raging Al

5yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 92

Uttoxeter · F Ball Yellow Bucket Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 168y

#9

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Free-going sort who shaped better than the beaten distance on both handicap starts to date, paying the price for a swift move into contention at Taunton in March. Could prove on a handy mark if settling in first-time tongue strap on return (first runner for new Hunt & Vaughan partnership).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength55%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Beverley 24/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m4f23y Gd 14224/0555 @ Chester 14/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 74 · 1m4f63y Sft 134 · below its mark14/06/2025 · OR 74 par5 @ Newbury 24/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 72 · 1m4f Goo 135 · beat its mark24/07/2025 · OR 72 par24/075OR 725 @ Windsor 08/09/2025 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 71 · 1m3f99y Goo 140 · below its mark08/09/2025 · OR 71 par4 @ Hereford 25/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 2m53y Gd 154 · HIGHER CLASS25/1144 @ Hereford 20/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 2m53y GS 156 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Hereford 12/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 2m53y Sft 157 · HIGHER CLASS12/0145 @ Ludlow 26/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 96 · 1m7f169y Goo 159 · below its mark26/02/2026 · OR 96 par5 @ Taunton 24/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 94 · 2m104y Gd 162 · below its mark24/03/2026 · OR 94 par24/035OR 94projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-24Taunton57th7th0
2026-02-26Ludlow52nd2nd0
2026-01-12Hereford45th4th+1
2025-12-20Hereford410th9th+1
2025-11-25Hereford47th6th+1
2025-11-17Exeter4+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/058/0912/0124/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 7-11 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength14%

Delivery trend -3.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/05/20254th22/10%50%+0.50
14/06/20257th33/10%33%+0.33
24/07/20253rd28/10%67%+0.67
08/09/202512th28/10%8%+0.08
25/11/20257th150/10%33%+0.33
20/12/202510th40/10%18%+0.18
12/01/20265th100/10%64%+0.64
26/02/20262nd15/261%75%+0.14
24/03/20267th11/142%50%+0.08