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Zucayan

9yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 98

Uttoxeter · F Ball Yellow Bucket Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 168y

#7

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Tends to save his best for Ludlow (all 3 career wins there). Hasn't looked in top form since a late fall over C&D in June (booked for second at the time), for all he was poorly placed behind Uncle Remus here last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength19%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Wolverhampton 02/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 1m142y Std 1362/0955 @ Kempton 15/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 69 · 1m Sta 137 · below its mark15/09/2025 · OR 69 par5 @ Wolverhampton 04/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 65 · 7f36y Std 130 · below its mark04/10/2025 · OR 65 par4/105OR 656 @ Nottingham 23/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 60 · 1m2f50y Hvy 132 · beat its mark23/10/2025 · OR 60 par5 @ Ludlow 03/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 102 · 1m7f169y Goo 165 · below its mark03/12/2025 · OR 102 par3/125OR 1024 @ Ludlow 10/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 101 · 1m7f169y Goo 159 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/05/2026 · OR 101 par6 @ Southwell 23/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 55 · 1m4f14y Std 135 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 55 par23/076OR 555 @ Stratford 25/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 102 · 2m2f148y GF 165 · below its mark25/08/2026 · OR 102 par5 @ Uttoxeter 15/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 100 · 1m7f168y Goo 168 · below its mark15/09/2026 · OR 100 par15/095OR 100projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Uttoxeter58th8th0
2026-08-25Stratford57th7th0
2026-07-23Southwell65th6th−1
2026-06-04Uttoxeter50
2026-05-10Ludlow42nd1st+1
2025-12-03Ludlow52nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0923/1023/0715/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 4-11 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength38%

Delivery trend +2.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/09/20254th150/10%25%+0.25
15/09/20259th100/10%0%0.00
04/10/20259th125/10%0%0.00
23/10/202510th50/10%36%+0.36
03/12/20252nd16/116%88%+0.72
10/05/20262nd11/271%83%+0.12
23/07/20265th20/10%50%+0.50
25/08/20267th16/116%14%-0.02
15/09/20268th28/10%42%+0.42