Ask A Sainte
6yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 105
Uttoxeter · F Ball Centre Of Excellence Handicap Chase · 1m 7f 214y
#2
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
15%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Fontwell | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-15 | Uttoxeter | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2026-06-12 | Market Rasen | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Newton Abbot | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/03/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 25/05/2025 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 11% | -0.55 |
| 20/11/2025 | 9th | 200/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 16/12/2025 | 4th | 125/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 04/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 04/06/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 12/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/9 | 98% | 80% | -0.18 |
| 06/09/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 25% | -0.62 |