Bertie B
8yo Gelding · 11-13 · OR 104
Uttoxeter · F Ball Centre Of Excellence Handicap Chase · 1m 7f 214y
#10
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Worcester | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Worcester | 3 | +2 | ||
| 2025-04-21 | Chepstow | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-03-29 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2025-02-15 | Ascot | 3 | +2 | ||
| 2024-12-29 | Kelso | 3 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -10.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2023 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |
| 25/02/2024 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 10/03/2024 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 01/11/2024 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |
| 02/12/2024 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 29/12/2024 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 29/03/2025 | 11th | 17/2 | 55% | 9% | -0.46 |
| 21/04/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 17/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |