8
Dexter
9yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 91
Uttoxeter · F Ball Centre Of Excellence Handicap Chase · 1m 7f 214y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Sedgefield | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Worcester | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Cartmel | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Cartmel | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Bangor-on-Dee | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-11-24 | Ludlow | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 4-10 · tight 57/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength29%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 15/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 92% | +0.29 |
| 06/11/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 24/11/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 28/06/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 19/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 78% | +0.30 |
| 09/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |