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5

Holy Legend

7yo Gelding · 11-11 · OR 102

Uttoxeter · F Ball Centre Of Excellence Handicap Chase · 1m 7f 214y

#4

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Strong traveller and seems a reformed character (formerly moody) this season, easily going 3-4 in 6-runner handicap chase at Worcester (2m, good) last month. Up a further 8 lb but another bold bid is on the cards.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Uttoxeter 24/11/2024 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 91 · 2m3f207y Sft 157 · below its mark24/11/2024 · OR 91 par24/115OR 915 @ Uttoxeter 08/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 89 · 1m7f168y Gd 158 · below its mark08/07/2025 · OR 89 par4 @ Taunton 17/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 86 · 2m12y Goo 144 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/01/2026 · OR 86 par17/014OR 865 @ Taunton 09/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 81 · 2m12y Goo 151 · below its mark09/03/2026 · OR 81 par5 @ Exeter 07/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 78 · 2m3f48y Goo 146 · below its mark07/04/2026 · OR 78 par7/045OR 785 @ Fontwell 14/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 74 · 2m1f165y Goo 142 · beat its mark14/05/2026 · OR 74 par5 @ Worcester 06/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 84 · 2m4f Gd 152 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 84 par6/065OR 845 @ Worcester 22/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 88 · 2m4f Gd 151 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 88 par5 @ Worcester 04/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 94 · 2m110y Gd 162 · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 94 par4/095OR 94projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Worcester51st1st0
2026-07-22Worcester51st1st0
2026-06-06Worcester52nd2nd0
2026-05-14Fontwell51st1st0
2026-04-07Exeter56th6th0
2026-03-09Taunton55th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/119/036/064/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 86/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/11/20244th5/174%25%-0.49
08/07/20258th40/10%13%+0.13
17/01/20267th16/116%0%-0.16
09/03/20265th12/137%20%-0.17
07/04/20266th9/153%44%-0.08
14/05/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
06/06/20262nd4/179%88%+0.09
22/07/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
04/09/20261st5/493%100%+0.07