2

Inedit D'amour

5yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 105

Uttoxeter · F Ball Centre Of Excellence Handicap Chase · 1m 7f 214y

#8

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

French recruit (runner-up over fences) who made it third time lucky for Donald McCain in 2m Catterick maiden hurdle on New Year's Day. Well below par in 3 handicaps subsequently (tried in blinkers last time) so plenty more is needed back chasing on his return.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼2
Strength61%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Moulins 21/09/2024 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f87y Sft 14721/09C?C8 @ Angers 07/12/2024 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 2m198y Hvy 147C0 @ Pau 23/01/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 2m1f87y Hvy 14723/01C?4 @ Carlisle 10/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 115 · 2m1f33y Sft 158 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/11/2025 · OR 115 par4 @ Carlisle 30/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 110 · 2m3f61y Sft 153 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/11/2025 · OR 110 par30/114OR 1104 @ Catterick 01/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 106 · 1m7f156y Gd 160 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/01/2026 · OR 106 par3 @ Catterick 24/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 112 · 2m3f66y Goo 157 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/02/2026 · OR 112 par24/023OR 1123 @ Newcastle 14/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 112 · 2m190y Goo 149 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/03/2026 · OR 112 par2 @ Haydock 04/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 109 · 1m7f144y Goo 142 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/04/2026 · OR 109 par4/042OR 109projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-04Haydock210th6th+3
2026-03-14Newcastle34th2nd+2
2026-02-24Catterick35th3rd+2
2026-01-01Catterick41st0th+1
2025-11-30Carlisle411th10th+1
2025-11-10Carlisle43rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0910/1124/024/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 4-10 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength19%

Delivery trend +1.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/09/20244th7/163%70%+0.07
07/12/20243rd11/486%86%+0.00
23/01/20256th7/163%44%-0.19
10/11/20253rd7/163%60%-0.03
30/11/202511th16/116%9%-0.07
01/01/20261st18/15%100%+0.95
24/02/20265th18/15%43%+0.38
14/03/20264th12/137%0%-0.37
04/04/202610th50/10%10%+0.10