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Prospect House

8yo Gelding · 10-12 · OR 89

Uttoxeter · F Ball Centre Of Excellence Handicap Chase · 1m 7f 214y

#6

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ended last season with 2m success at Catterick in December. Has steadily found his form this year and comes here on the back of a good third of 8 in handicap chase at Market Rasen (17f, good to firm) in July. Not out of things.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength32%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Market Rasen 16/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 77 · 2m1f43y Gd 142 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/08/2025 · OR 77 par16/084OR 775 @ Cartmel 25/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 84 · 2m1f61y Gd 153 · beat its mark25/08/2025 · OR 84 par4 @ Sedgefield 30/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 88 · 2m77y Gd 146 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/09/2025 · OR 88 par30/094OR 885 @ Newcastle 30/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 83 · 2m190y Goo 152 · beat its mark30/10/2025 · OR 83 par4 @ Musselburgh 28/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 88 · 1m7f182y GS 147 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/11/2025 · OR 88 par28/114OR 885 @ Catterick 16/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 87 · 1m7f145y Goo 152 · beat its mark16/12/2025 · OR 87 par5 @ Cartmel 27/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 89 · 2m1f61y Gd 159 · below its mark27/05/2026 · OR 89 par27/055OR 895 @ Market Rasen 12/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 89 · 2m3f34y Gd 157 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 89 par5 @ Market Rasen 18/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 88 · 2m1f43y Gd 156 · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 88 par18/075OR 88projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Market Rasen53rd3rd0
2026-06-12Market Rasen53rd3rd0
2026-05-27Cartmel54th4th0
2025-12-16Catterick51st1st0
2025-11-28Musselburgh43rd2nd+1
2025-10-30Newcastle52nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0830/1027/0518/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 4-6 · tight 81/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength53%

Delivery trend -0.9% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/20252nd9/488%83%-0.05
25/08/20252nd7/282%86%+0.04
30/09/20253rd4/179%67%-0.12
30/10/20252nd5/174%90%+0.16
28/11/20253rd4/179%71%-0.08
16/12/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
27/05/20264th13/266%50%-0.16
12/06/20263rd13/266%60%-0.06
18/07/20263rd4/179%71%-0.08