1
Reteti
6yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 105
Uttoxeter · F Ball Centre Of Excellence Handicap Chase · 1m 7f 214y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Newton Abbot | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Stratford | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Stratford | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Plumpton | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Stratford | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-23 | Plumpton | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 64/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength51%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/2025 | 4th | 150/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 15/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 09/02/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 23/02/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 29/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 20/08/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |