4
Another Mystery
9yo Gelding · 10-12 · OR 82
Uttoxeter · QuinnBet Handicap Chase · 3m 10y
#2
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | Southwell | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Fakenham | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-01 | Fakenham | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-05-03 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-03-26 | Hereford | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-03-02 | Doncaster | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 3-7 · tight 59/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2023 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 07/05/2024 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 18/05/2024 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 92% | +0.86 |
| 02/03/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |
| 26/03/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 03/05/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 44% | -0.27 |
| 01/06/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 06/04/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 09/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |