1

Better Off Alone

7yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 98

Uttoxeter · QuinnBet Handicap Chase · 3m 10y

#4

Rank

Odds

6/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Runner-up in 23f maiden hurdle early in 2025. Best run in this sphere after 6 months off when third of 6 in handicap at Worcester (23f, good) last month. Can go very well off a 2 lb lower mark in a change of headgear (visor on for first time) if keeping errors to a minimum.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength56%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Worcester 27/09/2024 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 2m4f Sft 158 · HIGHER CLASS27/0942 @ Cheltenham 25/10/2024 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 2m3f200y Gd 154 · HIGHER CLASS25/1024 @ Lingfield 31/01/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 2m7f Sft 158 · HIGHER CLASS31/0144 @ Uttoxeter 19/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 105 · 2m4f Hvy 153 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/12/2025 · OR 105 par19/124OR 1054 @ Wincanton 14/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 105 · 1m7f149y Hvy 163 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 105 par14/024OR 1054 @ Worcester 04/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 100 · 2m7f Gd 154 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 100 par4/094OR 100projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Worcester43rd2nd+1
2026-03-15Chepstow4+1
2026-02-14Wincanton44th3rd+1
2025-12-19Uttoxeter43rd2nd+1
2025-10-28Ffos Las4+1
2025-09-05Worcester4+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0925/1031/0119/1214/024/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 46/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength66%

Delivery trend -11.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/09/20244th14/126%67%+0.40
25/10/20247th50/10%14%+0.14
31/01/20252nd125/10%83%+0.83
19/12/20253rd9/488%50%-0.38
14/02/20264th8/158%50%-0.08
04/09/20263rd7/163%60%-0.03