3
Bravethewaves
9yo Gelding · 11-1 · OR 85
Uttoxeter · QuinnBet Handicap Chase · 3m 10y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Cartmel | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Newcastle | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Southwell | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Doncaster | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Catterick | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Catterick | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 7-7 · tight 90/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 31/10/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 25/11/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 28/12/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 21/01/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 45% | -0.07 |
| 27/02/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 24/03/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 45% | -0.02 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 29/08/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |