5
Izzy's Grey
7yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 81
Uttoxeter · QuinnBet Handicap Chase · 3m 10y
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Worcester | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Ludlow | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Chepstow | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 4-7 · tight 68/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2024 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 22/03/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 12/04/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 26/03/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 10/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 89% | +0.84 |
| 24/07/2026 | 11th | 9/2 | 76% | 23% | -0.53 |
| 10/09/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |