6

Jo Arengeot Bey Aa

7yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 81

Uttoxeter · QuinnBet Handicap Chase · 3m 10y

#1

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

99%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Belatedly opened his account under Rules in handicap over C&D in May. Placed last 3 starts, though looked lacklustre in a headgear change (visored) when third of 6 in handicap chase at Worcester (23f, good to soft) last time. Still a likely player at these weights.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength37%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Carlisle 11/11/2024 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 99 · 2m3f218y Goo 163 · below its mark11/11/2024 · OR 99 par11/115OR 995 @ Wetherby 18/03/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 93 · 3m26y Goo 162 · below its mark18/03/2025 · OR 93 par5 @ Kelso 08/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 85 · 2m7f96y Goo 160 · below its mark08/11/2025 · OR 85 par8/115OR 855 @ Wetherby 26/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 80 · 3m45y Sft 148 · beat its mark26/02/2026 · OR 80 par5 @ Bangor-on-Dee 21/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 77 · 2m7f32y Goo 145 · beat its mark21/03/2026 · OR 77 par21/035OR 775 @ Uttoxeter 02/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 74 · 3m10y Gd 146 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 74 par5 @ Uttoxeter 24/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 81 · 3m10y Gd 149 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 81 par24/075OR 815 @ Sedgefield 28/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 82 · 3m2f59y Goo 145 · beat its mark28/08/2026 · OR 82 par5 @ Worcester 10/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 82 · 2m7f Gd 156 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 82 par10/095OR 82projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Worcester53rd3rd0
2026-08-28Sedgefield53rd3rd0
2026-07-24Uttoxeter52nd2nd0
2026-06-13Uttoxeter50
2026-05-02Uttoxeter51st1st0
2026-03-21Bangor-on-Dee56th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/1126/0224/0710/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 68/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength89%

Delivery trend -3.5% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/11/202411th18/15%0%-0.05
18/03/20258th33/10%13%+0.13
08/11/20256th40/10%29%+0.29
26/02/20264th20/10%57%+0.57
21/03/20266th20/10%44%+0.44
02/05/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
24/07/20262nd6/168%92%+0.24
28/08/20263rd7/282%67%-0.15
10/09/20263rd2/189%60%-0.29