3
Maxine Magic
4yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 71
Woodbine · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
29%
Place Prob
35%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength74%
Delivery trend +5.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 06/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 28/11/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 43% | -0.43 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 22/05/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 19/06/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 20/08/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 63% | -0.03 |
| 10/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |