Bowman's Run
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 2 · OR 91
Woodbine · Race 10 - Optional Claiming · 7f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-11-15 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 14/09/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 25/10/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/11/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 31/05/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 70% | +0.07 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 02/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 06/09/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |