7
Motion Granted
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 7 · OR 89
Woodbine · Race 10 - Optional Claiming · 7f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-21 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 2-9 · tight 43/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength24%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 30/10/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 22/11/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 10/05/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 13/06/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 12/07/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 24/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 13/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |