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4

Sonofaghost

3yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 4 · OR 74

Woodbine · Race 10 - Optional Claiming · 7f 110y

#9

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼2
Strength34%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Fort Erie 07/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 80 · 6f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 80 par7/09C5OR 80
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Fort Erie?8th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 6-11 · tight 50/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/09/20268th8/158%22%-0.36