8

Southern Style

5yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 8 · OR 93

Woodbine · Race 10 - Optional Claiming · 7f 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

19%

Place Prob

28%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength17%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Woodbine 21/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 83 · 1m110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/06/2025 · OR 83 par21/06C6OR 83C7 @ Woodbine 07/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 84 · 1m110y 122 · below its mark07/08/2025 · OR 84 parC8 @ Woodbine 12/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 83 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark12/09/2025 · OR 83 par12/09C8OR 83C8 @ Woodbine 30/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 85 · 1m110y 123 · below its mark30/10/2025 · OR 85 parC6 @ Woodbine 07/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 84 · 7f110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 84 par7/06C6OR 84C8 @ Woodbine 26/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 86 · 1m110y Gd 123 · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 86 parC7 @ Woodbine 26/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 87 · 1m110y Fm 122 · beat its mark26/07/2026 · OR 87 par26/07C7OR 87C7 @ Woodbine 21/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 89 · 1m110y Fm 124 · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 89 parC7 @ Woodbine 20/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 89 · 1m Fm 124 · below its mark20/09/2026 · OR 89 par20/09C7OR 89projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-20Woodbine?3rd3rd0
2026-08-21Woodbine?2nd2nd0
2026-07-26Woodbine?1st1st0
2026-06-26Woodbine?4th5th−1
2026-06-07Woodbine?10th9th+1
2025-10-30Woodbine?5th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0630/1026/0720/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength82%

Delivery trend -1.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/06/202510th33/10%18%+0.18
07/08/20255th20/10%20%+0.20
12/09/20253rd10/147%67%+0.19
30/10/20255th7/282%33%-0.48
07/06/202610th40/10%10%+0.10
26/06/20264th9/153%70%+0.17
26/07/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
21/08/20262nd3/184%83%-0.01
20/09/20263rd9/488%60%-0.28