Erie Shores
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 6 · OR 77
Woodbine · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 3f
#3
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-08-24 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 05/10/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 30/11/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 26/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 15/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |