3
Moon Channel
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 3 · OR 91
Woodbine · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 3f
#1
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
73%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-08 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-05-02 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Keeneland | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 33/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength25%
Delivery trend -28.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 90% | +0.64 |
| 02/05/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 78% | +0.15 |
| 08/06/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 14% | -0.62 |
| 13/09/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |