1
War Emperor
2yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 1 · OR 74
Woodbine · Race 3 - Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼1
Strength22%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-08-23 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 2-2 · tight 71/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength67%
Delivery trend -23.2% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 13/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |