3
Blondina's Boy
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 69
Woodbine · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 4-6 · tight 74/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength16%
Delivery trend -6.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/11/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 03/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 24/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 24/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 07/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |