2

My Boy Bruce
4yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 2 · OR 78
Woodbine · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
71%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 74/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength98%
Delivery trend +5.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 31/10/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 43% | -0.39 |
| 19/06/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |