4
Space Launch
8yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 4 · OR 87
Woodbine · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-6 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength36%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 11/04/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 20/06/2026 | 10th | 3/1 | 84% | 10% | -0.74 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 78% | +0.20 |
| 03/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 24/08/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 27% | -0.25 |
| 11/09/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 30% | -0.49 |